Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000031 0.000033 0.000036 0.000039 0.000043 0.000047 0.000051
2026-01-25 0.000031 0.000036 0.000041 0.000047 0.000053 0.000061 0.000071
2026-02-01 0.000027 0.000032 0.000038 0.000044 0.000053 0.000063 0.000075
2026-02-08 0.000024 0.000029 0.000035 0.000043 0.000052 0.000064 0.000079
2026-02-15 0.000022 0.000028 0.000034 0.000042 0.000053 0.000066 0.000084
2026-02-22 0.000021 0.000026 0.000032 0.000041 0.000052 0.000067 0.000087
2026-03-01 0.000019 0.000024 0.000030 0.000039 0.000050 0.000066 0.000088
2026-03-08 0.000017 0.000022 0.000028 0.000037 0.000049 0.000065 0.000089
2026-03-15 0.000016 0.000021 0.000027 0.000036 0.000048 0.000065 0.000091
2026-03-22 0.000015 0.000019 0.000026 0.000034 0.000047 0.000065 0.000093
2026-03-29 0.000014 0.000018 0.000025 0.000034 0.000047 0.000066 0.000095
2026-04-05 0.000013 0.000018 0.000024 0.000034 0.000048 0.000068 0.000101
2026-04-12 0.000013 0.000018 0.000025 0.000035 0.000050 0.000073 0.000111
2026-04-19 0.000014 0.000020 0.000028 0.000041 0.000061 0.000092 0.000145
2026-04-26 0.000013 0.000019 0.000026 0.000039 0.000059 0.000091 0.000146
2026-05-03 0.000012 0.000017 0.000025 0.000037 0.000058 0.000090 0.000149
2026-05-10 0.000011 0.000017 0.000024 0.000037 0.000058 0.000092 0.000155
2026-05-17 0.000011 0.000016 0.000023 0.000036 0.000057 0.000092 0.000158
2026-05-24 0.000010 0.000015 0.000022 0.000034 0.000055 0.000090 0.000157
2026-05-31 0.000009 0.000014 0.000021 0.000032 0.000053 0.000088 0.000157
2026-06-07 0.000009 0.000013 0.000020 0.000032 0.000052 0.000088 0.000160
2026-06-14 0.000008 0.000012 0.000019 0.000030 0.000051 0.000087 0.000160
2026-06-21 0.000008 0.000012 0.000018 0.000030 0.000050 0.000087 0.000164